Finance Update October 2024

This month, I closely analyse what’s happening with home loans, while also sharing a surprising trend among property buyers:

  • Mortgage competition heating up
  • What is the average loan size in your state?
  • 22% of buyers looking interstate
  • Why most borrowers are going variable

Lenders are competing strongly for borrowers, especially those with strong credit profiles. As a result, borrowing activity jumped 18.2% between January 2024 and August 2024, according to the most recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

During that time, owner-occupier borrowing climbed 14.9%, while investor borrowing surged 23.7% and refinancing also increased, rising 1.2%.

If you have an existing loan and have not had it reviewed in the past two years, there’s a good chance a better deal might exist, or if you are in the market to purchase, please get in touch to find out.

I can help you:

  • Compare loans from a diverse range of lenders
  • Maximise your borrowing capacity
  • Choose a strategy and loan structure that suits your personal circumstances

The average borrower is taking out a $636,209 home loan, with loan sizes ranging significantly in specific states, based on mortgage data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Check out the chart below for the figures:

Regardless of whether your mortgage is higher or lower than these figures, you probably want to reduce your loan balance. Here are some tactics to help you achieve that goal:

  • Switch from monthly to fortnightly repayments – this means you’ll make the equivalent of 13 months of repayments each year
  • Use your offset account or redraw facility (if you have them), to reduce your interest bill
  • Refinance to a lower interest rate – there are really good deals available for borrowers who have at least 20% equity in their home

All of those things really depend on your personal circumstances and financial position – so please get in touch if you want me to help you run some numbers.

More home-hunters are looking to buy property in a different state – but why?

In the year to August, 22% of all enquiries to buy property on realestate.com.au came from buyers based in a different state, compared to 17% in the previous 12-month period.

Some people are looking to buy interstate for reasons of affordability. New South Wales, for example, which is the priciest state, recorded the highest share of local buyers making enquiries in other states and the lowest share of receiving enquiries from other states.

Meanwhile, some investors are targeting out-of-state locations that seem to offer better returns. The prime example is Western Australia – where property prices have been booming – which experienced the biggest increase in interstate enquiry over the past year.

Here are some due-diligence tips if you’re thinking about buying interstate:

  • Use data to research the suburbs where you’re thinking about buying
  • Order building and pest inspections of homes that seriously interest you
  • Consider hiring a property manager to conduct property inspections for you or a buyer’s agent to manage the entire process for you

Finally, please contact me for a home loan pre-approval before you start your property search, so you can get certainty around your budget.

The vast majority of home loan customers are currently choosing variable-rate loans over fixed-rate loans.

In August 2024, 98% of new loans were variable, while 2% were fixed, according to the most recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

By comparison, in August 2021, when interest rates were at record-low levels, 46% of borrowers decided to fix, while 54% went variable.

Interest rate expectations appear to be guiding borrowers’ decisions.

In 2021, when rates were at ultra-low levels due to the pandemic, most borrowers assumed they would rise sooner or later – so many chose to lock in those lower rates.

Today, most borrowers assume rates have peaked, so they want a variable loan that will get cheaper if and when the Reserve Bank of Australia starts reducing the cash rate.

Fixed vs variable
  • Fixed loans simplify budgeting, because your monthly repayments won’t change during the fixed period
  • As a result, you won’t suffer when rates rise and won’t benefit when they fall
  • Variable loans are unpredictable, because your repayments can change at any time
  • Variable rates go higher when rates rise and lower when they fall

Thanks for reading. I hope you pick a winner in the Melbourne Cup next week.

Finance Update September 2024

Finance Update 2 September 2024

In this month’s newsletter, “Finance update September 2024,” you’ll find some interesting insights about the rise in borrowing activity, the federal government’s housing assistance program, and the spring surge in listings:

  • 35.4% jump in investor lending
  • Govt scheme helping tens of thousands of buyers
  • More choice for buyers as listings rise 7.9%
  • Why buy & hold can be a lucrative strategy
Sept 24 ActivePipe 1
According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, property investors committed to $11.71 billion in home loans in July 2024, the second-highest month on record.
 
It was also 35.4% higher than in July 2023, showing the enormous growth in investor activity during that time.
Sept 24 ActivePipe 2
Here are five reasons why so many Australians consider property investing a great way to build wealth:
  • Capital growth –  property prices have increased significantly over the long term
  • Rental income – the income you collect from your tenants can contribute to paying off your mortgage
  • Tax benefits – you can potentially reduce your taxable income if your expenses exceed your income
  • Diversification – property can balance out any shares you may own through your superannuation
  • Flexibility – once you’ve accumulated enough equity in your investment property, you can use that to fund the deposit on another property
 
As highlighted in Finance Update September 2024, property investing offers significant potential benefits. If you’re interested in learning more, I’d be happy to run some numbers for you.
The federal government’s Home Guarantee Scheme (HGS) helped 43,800 buyers enter the market in the 2023-24 financial year, Housing Australia has revealed.
 
The HGS contains three separate programs:
  • The First Home Guarantee helps eligible first home buyers, and people who haven’t owned a home for at least 10 years, to purchase a property with a 5% deposit without paying lender’s mortgage insurance (LMI)
  • The Regional First Home Buyer Guarantee is almost identical but is limited to regional buyers purchasing regional properties
  • The Family Home Guarantee helps eligible single parents and single legal guardians buy a property with a 2% deposit without paying LMI
The federal government has allocated a combined 50,000 places for the three programs in the 2024-25 financial year.
 
All three programs are reserved for owner-occupiers, have income limits ($125,000 for single applicants and $200,000 applicants) and property price caps (see table above).
 
Please contact me if you’re thinking about taking advantage of the HGS. I can advise you if you meet the eligibility criteria and manage your home loan application.
Home hunters have considerably more stock to choose from than earlier in the year, putting buyers in a stronger negotiating position.
 
SQM Research has reported that the total number of listings across Australia in August was 7.9% higher than the month before and 11.1% higher than the year before, while the number of new listings (those less than 30 days old) rose 11.8% month-on-month and 8.5% year-on-year.
 
“Going forward, the spring selling season will provide a significant level of choice for buyers, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, with listings at their highest levels in some years,” according to SQM Research.
 
This is good news if you’re thinking about buying a property because it means you’ll face less competition from other buyers. But it’s not such good news if you’re thinking about selling, because you’ll face more competition from other sellers. As a result, buyers will be encouraged to make lower offers and sellers might be forced to settle for less.
About 20% of homeowners bought their property in the past five years, CoreLogic has estimated. The data shows that 2021 was the most common year in which homes were last purchased, with 5.3% of all homes being bought in that year.
 
It makes perfect sense for people to buy and sell homes every few years, because as circumstances change, we may need to upgrade, downgrade or relocate. That said, if you can hold onto a property for the long term, there can be enormous benefits.
 
First, you can avoid the transaction costs associated with buying and selling. Second, you can potentially enjoy strong capital growth. CoreLogic reports that the nation’s median property price has increased by 70.2% over the past 10 years, 157.9% over the past 20 years and 425.9% over the past 30 years.
 
Depending on your financial circumstances, it might be possible to move without selling your existing home if you turned it into an investment property. While you’d then have two mortgages, some of that extra cost would be offset by the rent you’d start collecting.
 
If you want a larger or newer home, another alternative would be to renovate instead of moving: potentially, you could finance the project by borrowing against the equity in your home.
 
The spring season is often the busiest time of the year, with a lot of buying activity taking place. As highlighted in the Finance update September 2024, reach out if you’d like assistance with securing a home loan pre-approval or refinancing an existing loan.

Finance Update August 2024

With the spring selling season just around the corner, here’s what’s making news in the mortgage and property markets:

  • Rental market cools
  • 3% mortgage buffer explained
  • Borrowing rises 19.1%
  • Construction loans explained


Property investors have enjoyed a golden run over the past five years, during which the national median rent increased 39.7%. However, in July, rents increased just 0.1%, which was the slowest growth since 2020, according to CoreLogic.

At the same time, annual rental growth has been trending down over the past few months.

Between February and July, rental growth fell from 9.7% to 8.0% in the combined capitals, although it rose from 5.4% to 7.1% in the combined regions. The big cities appear to be close to their rental affordability limit, while the regions, which have had less rental growth, might have more capacity to absorb higher rents.

Despite the slowdown of the national rental market, CoreLogic economist Kaitlyn Ezzy said rents were likely to keep increasing.

“Low supply will likely continue to put upward pressure on rents, albeit at a slower pace,” she said.

“With dwelling approvals and commencements at historic lows, providing sufficient new housing will not be a quick fix and remains a genuine challenge for policymakers, the property industry and, of course, tenants.”

In other words, while rents are likely to keep rising, tenants are likely to get some relief and investors shouldn’t budget for the double-digit-percentage increases of previous years.

When you apply for a mortgage, the lender uses a series of criteria to assess how likely you’d be to repay the loan. As part of this process, the lender also considers whether you’d be able to continue making your repayments if interest rates were to rise.

Generally, lenders will apply a buffer of at least 3.00 percentage points – so if you applied for a loan with an interest rate of 6.50%, this would mean calculating whether you’d be able to make repayments at 9.50%.

This ‘mortgage serviceability buffer’, as it’s known, is mandated by APRA, Australia’s banking regulator.

Partly, it’s designed to prevent lenders from issuing risky loans; because if a large number of borrowers defaulted on their loans, that would undermine the banking system. And, partly, it’s designed to protect borrowers from taking on loans they might not be able to afford.

The serviceability buffer can make it harder for borrowers to qualify for loans, but is ultimately designed to be in their best interests.

The latest home loans data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics has revealed three key trends.

  1. Borrowing is rising strongly. The total value of home loan commitments in June reached $29.19 billion, which was 1.3% higher than the previous month and 19.1% higher than the previous year.
  2. Investor activity is incredibly strong right now. While the volume of owner-occupied loans rose 13.2% year-on-year to $18.17 billion, investment loans jumped 30.2% to $11.02 billion.
  3. While refinancing activity remains quite high, it’s well below the record levels of mid-2023. Borrowers refinanced $15.79 billion of loans in June, which was 20.9% lower than the year before.

Contact me if you’re thinking about buying a property. I can get you a home loan pre-approval and, if you’re interested, introduce you to a good buyer’s agent.

One of the great things about constructing your own home is that it can be tailored to your specifications. If you’re interested in building rather than buying your dream home, here’s the process you need to follow:

  • Speak to your broker about your goals, so you can create a finance plan together
  • Buy the land
  • Design your home
  • Find a reputable builder
  • Obtain building permits and approvals
  • Build the home

With a traditional home loan, you receive the money in one lump sum; but with a construction loan, you receive the money in five stages throughout the project. You pay interest-only on the portion of the funds you’ve received to date, rather than the whole loan; and at the end of the build, your loan reverts to a traditional principal-and-interest mortgage.

It’s worth noting that the rate of annual growth in house-building costs increased from 3.9% in September 2023 to 4.3% in June 2024, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

Given that costs will likely continue to rise, the sooner you build, the cheaper it could be in the long term. If this is something you’re thinking about doing, you should explore your options soon.

I can help you buy a home, build a home, purchase a vehicle or refinance an existing loan, so please get in touch if you need assistance.

Finance Update July 2024

In this month’s newsletter, I’ve got four timely stories about loan sizes, investor activity, housing incentives and property sales. Here are the headlines:
  • Why you should shop around for loans
  • Home Guarantee Scheme update
  • Vendor data shows sales trends
  • Investor borrowing jumps 29.5%

Why you should shop around for loans

With property prices at record levels, the size of the average mortgage has also hit new highs, making it more important than ever that you shop around for the right loan.
Australia’s median property price reached a record $794,000 in June, up 8.0% year on year, according to CoreLogic.
Meanwhile, the size of the average owner-occupied loan reached a record $626,055 at the end of May (the most recent month for which we have data), up 7.1% year on year, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Just as interest rates can vary significantly from lender to lender, so can your borrowing power, depending on your financial profile, the type of property you’re planning to buy and the location of the property. Sometimes, one institution might be willing to lend you tens of thousands – or even hundreds of thousands – of dollars more than another institution.
Trying to source all this information yourself would be very time-consuming. But brokers have an intimate understanding of the credit policies of many different lenders. That’s why, if you get a home loan through a broker, they can recommend a lender that is suitable for someone with your profile and scenario.

Home Guarantee Scheme update

The federal government has allocated another 50,000 places across Australia to its Home Guarantee Scheme (HGS) for the 2024-25 financial year.
That includes 35,000 places for the First Home Guarantee and 10,000 for the Regional First Home Buyer Guarantee.
Under the first program, the government supports eligible first home buyers to purchase a property with a 5% deposit, without having to pay lender’s mortgage insurance (LMI). The second program is identical but applies to regional applicants purchasing regional properties.
The HGS also includes 5,000 places for the Family Home Guarantee, through which the government helps eligible single parents and single legal guardians purchase a property with a 2% deposit, without paying LMI.
For all three schemes, applicants must be owner-occupiers. Income caps apply ($125,000 for single applicants, $200,000 for joint applicants), as do property price caps (which vary from state to state).
The HGS has strict conditions and is not available through all lenders. If you’re unsure whether you’re eligible or how the scheme works, reach out and I’ll be happy to help.
Record property prices are proving to be good news for vendors, with 94.3% of all vendors in the March quarter selling their home for more than they’d originally paid, according toCoreLogic. That was the fourth consecutive quarterly increase and the highest share since 2010.
However, the share of vendors who made a gross profit varied significantly from capital city to city, reflecting different market performance.
Another significant finding was that house owners were more likely to record a profit than unit owners, by a share of 97.1% to 89.0%.
Also, there was a clear link between the amount of time someone had owned a home and the size of their profit. Vendors made a median profit of $82,000 with a hold period of up to two years, $275,000 for up to 10 years, $435,000 for up to 20 years and $780,000 for up to 30 years.
 
Home loan volumes have significantly increased over the past year, especially among investors.
Investors committed to $10.67 billion of mortgages in May, according to the latest datafrom the Australian Bureau of Statistics. That was 29.5% higher than the year before.
At the same time, owner-occupier borrowing activity rose 12.2%, to $18.13 billion.
Investors were responsible for 37.1% of the home loans that were issued in May. Despite the surge, that’s only slightly higher than the long-term average (in records dating back to 2002) of 35.9%. 
By way of comparison, investors’ share of home loan activity bottomed out at 22.4% in 2021 and peaked at 45.9% in 2015, while owner-occupiers’ share reached a low of 54.1% in 2015 and a high of 77.6% in 2021.
If you’re thinking about applying for a home loan, here are three important tips to make yourself more creditworthy in the eyes of lenders:
  • Reduce your spending, to free up money to pay off a loan
  • Pay all your bills on time, to maintain a good credit score
  • Contact a broker, who will compare the market for you